{"id":272836,"date":"2020-08-18T16:19:34","date_gmt":"2020-08-18T06:19:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/?p=272836"},"modified":"2020-08-18T16:19:34","modified_gmt":"2020-08-18T06:19:34","slug":"bom-issues-la-nina-alert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/2020\/08\/18\/bom-issues-la-nina-alert\/","title":{"rendered":"BOM Issues La Ni\u00f1a Alert"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_272855\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-272855\" style=\"width: 740px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/20200818chart.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-272855\" src=\"https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/20200818chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"740\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/20200818chart.jpg 740w, https:\/\/southburnett.com.au\/news2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/20200818chart-300x193.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 740px) 100vw, 740px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-272855\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sea surface temperatures during the past week (Map: BOM)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>August 18, 2020<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Bureau of Meteorology says the chance of a La Ni\u00f1a occurring this year &#8211; meaning above-average rainfall and more tropical cyclones &#8211; has increased to 70 per cent, roughly three times the normal likelihood.<\/p>\n<p>The Bureau\u2019s Manager of Climate Operations, Dr Andrew Watkins, said La Ni\u00f1a typically results in above-average winter-spring rainfall particularly across eastern, central and northern regions.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It typically also brings cooler and cloudier days, more tropical cyclones, and an earlier onset of the first rains of the wet season across the north,&#8221; Dr Watkins said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The cooling of surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean and an increase in the strength of the Pacific Trade Winds indicates the chance of La Ni\u00f1a has risen.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When these two changes occur at the same time, at this time of year, we see a greatly increased chance of a La Ni\u00f1a forming and persisting through spring.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8220;Climate models suggest that further ocean cooling and intensification of Trade Winds may occur over the coming months, which has triggered the Bureau to shift from a La Ni\u00f1a Watch, issued on June 26, to a La Ni\u00f1a Alert.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The last significant La Ni\u00f1a event was in 2010-11, which was the Australia&#8217;s wettest two-year period on record beating the previous record from the La Ni\u00f1a years of 1973-74.<\/p>\n<p>The last time the Pacific Ocean approached La Nina conditions was in late 2017, but thresholds were only briefly exceeded.<\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">BOM says\u00a0 a La Ni\u00f1a Alert\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">not a guarantee that La Ni\u00f1a will occur, rather it is an indication that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">most\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">of the typical precursors of La Ni\u00f1a are in place. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Bureau climatologists will continue to closely monitor model outlooks and conditions in the tropical Pacific for further signs of La Ni\u00f1a development.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bureau of Meteorology says the chance of a La Ni\u00f1a occurring this year &#8211; meaning above-average rainfall and more tropical cyclones &#8211; has increased to 70 per cent, roughly three times the normal likelihood.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":272855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3,36],"tags":[1134],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.11 - 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